{"id":92959,"date":"2022-09-14T23:32:31","date_gmt":"2022-09-14T21:32:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tr.dkturk.com\/?p=92959"},"modified":"2022-09-14T23:32:31","modified_gmt":"2022-09-14T21:32:31","slug":"fitch-2022-yili-buyume-tahminini-kuresel-ekonomi-icin-dusurdu-turkiye-icin-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordicturk.com\/arsiv\/20122025\/fitch-2022-yili-buyume-tahminini-kuresel-ekonomi-icin-dusurdu-turkiye-icin-yukseltti\/92959\/","title":{"rendered":"Fitch 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini k\u00fcresel ekonomi i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"

Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings, k\u00fcresel ekonomiye ili\u015fkin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 2,9’dan y\u00fczde 2,4’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Fitch, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun eyl\u00fcl say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “Arz \u015eoklar\u0131 ve Enflasyon D\u00fcnya Ekonomisini Sert Bir \u015eekilde Vuruyor” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, Avrupa’daki gaz krizinin, y\u00fcksek enflasyonun ve k\u00fcresel \u00e7apta para politikas\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131ndaki keskin h\u0131zlanman\u0131n ekonomik beklentilere a\u011f\u0131r bir darbe indirdi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel ekonomiye ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc raporda, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,4, 2023’te y\u00fczde 1,7 ve 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Fitch, haziran ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminlerinde k\u00fcresel ekonominin 2022’de y\u00fczde 2,9, 2023 ve 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,7’\u015fer b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

– Avro B\u00f6lgesi ve ABD i\u00e7in resesyon beklentisi<\/p>\n

Raporda, Avro B\u00f6lgesi ve \u0130ngiltere’nin bu y\u0131l\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda resesyona girmesinin, ABD’nin de 2023 ortalar\u0131nda hafif bir resesyon ya\u015famas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fine i\u015faret edildi.
\nABD ekonomisinin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin y\u00fczde 2,9’dan y\u00fczde 1,7’ye \u00e7ekildi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, \u00fclkenin 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin ise y\u00fczde 1,5’ten y\u00fczde 0,5’e indirildi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131. ABD’nin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin ise y\u00fczde 1,3’ten y\u00fczde 1,7’ye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, Avro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisinin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin y\u00fczde 2,6’dan y\u00fczde 2,9’a \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi. Daha \u00f6nce 2023’te y\u00fczde 2,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi beklenen Avro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisinin gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,1 daralmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, b\u00f6lge ekonomisinin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini ise y\u00fczde 2,1’den y\u00fczde 2,3’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

– \u00c7in ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edildi<\/p>\n

Raporda, \u00c7in ekonomisinin toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ise Kovid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 uygulanan karantina \u00f6nlemleri ve gayrimenkul sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f nedeniyle s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, \u00c7in ekonomisinin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin y\u00fczde 3,7’den y\u00fczde 2,8’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131 beklentisinin de y\u00fczde 5,3’ten y\u00fczde 4,5’e \u00e7ekildi\u011fi belirtildi. \u00c7in ekonomisinin 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin ise y\u00fczde 5’ten y\u00fczde 4,7’ye indirildi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

– T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fckseltildi<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerin de yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc t\u00fcketim ve ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 5,2, 2023 ve 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,9’ar b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Fitch, haziran ay\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminlerde, T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,5, 2023’te y\u00fczde 3 ve 2024’te y\u00fczde 2,9 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

– Politika faizleri beklenenden \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131yor<\/p>\n

Raporda, y\u00fcksek ve kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonun y\u00fckselen k\u0131sa vadeli enflasyon beklentilerinin ve s\u0131k\u0131 i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed), \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (ECB) son aylarda daha \u015fahinle\u015fmesine neden oldu\u011fu da aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Politika faizlerinin beklenenden \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilen raporda, Fed’in y\u0131l sonuna kadar faiz oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 4’e \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131n\u0131n ve 2023 boyunca orada tutmas\u0131n\u0131n, ECB’nin yeniden finansman oran\u0131n\u0131 aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 2’ye y\u00fckseltmesinin ve BoE’nin faizi \u015eubat 2023’e kadar 3,25’e \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu, arz \u015foklar\u0131 ve enflasyonun d\u00fcnya ekonomisini sert bir \u015fekilde vurdu\u011funu bildirdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"2","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"0","share_position":"hide","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"0","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"0","show_popup_post":"0","number_popup_post":"2","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"no-crop","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-715"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored 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